AL Notebook: Cano finally starting to 'get it' with Yankees

Baseball Betting Lines

07/12/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It wasn't long ago that there were some people inside the New York Yankees organization who wanted to deal Robinson Cano.

Some felt he was too lazy in the field. Others didn't like his approach at the plate. His harshest critics noted that his poor starts were likely the result of being unprepared as the season started.

Not helping matters any was a lackadaisical approach to it all. It often looked as if Cano would rather be out at the clubs with his buddy Melky Cabrera than at second base for the most famous franchise in sports.

Things reached rock-bottom for Cano in Anaheim on an August Sunday in 2008. The Yankees were on the verge of being swept by the Angels and manager Joe Girardi called him out, basically saying he needed a better effort from Cano following a ground ball that got past him, leading to a blown save for Mariano Rivera.

A lot of people thought that may have been the final straw for the Yankees and Cano. Even with a strong second half, there were whispers that he was on the block, and that the big finish to the year only enhanced his trade value.

Cano heard the rumors and got the message loud and clear. Cano spent the offseason working with hitting coach Kevin Long and the work paid off, as he started 2009 red-hot, hitting .366 in April, or more than 100 points better than his 2008 start.

Cano had his finest all-around year as a pro last season, hitting .320 with 25 home runs and 85 RBI, while playing a magnificent second base for the World Series Champions. Still, though, there were skeptics. People pointed to his abysmal .207 average with runners in scoring position, that was even worse in similar situations with two outs (.204).

Again, Cano got the message and responded with one of his own.

Following another winter's worth of work with Long, there wasn't a better player in the American League through the first two months of the season than Robinson Cano. He's been the MVP of the best team in baseball in the first half of the year, and that's saying something given the wealth of talent on this team.

Cano hit a blistering .400 in April with eight home runs, coming through time and time again for the Yankees in every spot possible. He has hit .340 with RISP this season, while for the most part carrying a Yankees offense that up until recently was getting nothing from Alex Rodriguez or Mark Teixeira.

People have said that Cano is a batting champion waiting to happen. Often compared to seven-time hitting champion Rod Carew, Cano led the majors in batting for most of the first half. He is 10 points back of Texas' Josh Hamilton as we head into the break, but Cano has always been a second-half player. Don't be shocked if batting title No. 1 comes this year.

If that happens, I am not sure what negative point his critics will try to make this offseason. I am quite certain, though, that Cano will respond accordingly.

GIRARDI TABS TAMPA'S DAVID PRICE TO START

American League manager Joe Girardi named Tampa Bay lefty David Price as his starter for Tuesday night's Mid-Summer Classic, making the 24-year-old hurler the youngest pitcher to start the game since a 23-year-old Dwight Gooden took the ball for the National League in 1988.

"It's a definitely an honor," Price stated. "It hasn't set in yet. I'm very happy to be here."

The top overall pick in the 2007 draft, Price is 12-4 with a 2.42 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season for the Rays. He is one of six pitchers all-time under 25 years of age to reach 12 wins, an ERA below 2.50 and 100 strikeouts heading into the All-Star break, and the first in 25 years since Roger Clemens did so in 1986 (15-2, 2.48 ERA, 146 strikeouts).

He is also the youngest to be leading either the AL or NL in wins and ERA at the All-Star break since 23-year-old Scott Erickson with Minnesota in 1991 (12 wins, 1.83 ERA).

The lineup for the American League will open with Seattle right fielder Ichiro Suzuki, who will be followed by New York Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter and Detroit first baseman Miguel Cabrera, who is replacing the injured Justin Morneau of Minnesota.

Texas center fielder Josh Hamilton will bat cleanup, with Rangers slugger and former Angels star Vladimir Guerrero next as the designated hitter. Tampa Bay third baseman Evan Longoria will hit sixth, followed by Minnesota catcher Joe Mauer, Yankees second baseman Robinson Cano and Rays left fielder Carl Crawford.

"You look at numbers and how guys have performed," said Girardi when asked how he constructed his lineup. "We have quality RBI guys in the middle of the lineup and speed at the top and bottom."

ADRIAN BELTRE REPLACED BY MICHAEL YOUNG?

It seemed like a innocent comment at the time when Girardi announced that Boston third baseman Adrian Beltre would be replaced on the roster by Texas' Michael Young.

The only problem was that it appears to be news to Beltre, who is dealing with a hamstring issue. I am guessing Beltre will try to give it a go and see how Tuesday's workout goes. Should he not be able to play, I imagine Young would get the nod.

By the way if Beltre does in fact sit the game out, he would be the fourth of the six Red Sox All-Stars replaced because of injury with lefty Jon Lester and designated hitter David Ortiz ranking as the only ones left to suit up.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.